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Off topic: 我们这里有外汇市场专家吗？(M+M+M！) Gijos autorius: chance (X)
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wherestip 
Jungtinės Amerikos Valstijos
Local time: 10:25
iš kinų į anglų
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chance wrote:
看到你前几贴，我查了招商银行的汇率，和前几天没什么变化，不过我一般只看欧元与人民币汇率，对美元不清楚。这里媒体也还没有有关报导。
wherestip wrote:
Yueyin, Chance, Wenjer,
Any opinions as to what's happening to the Chinese currency?
chance,
Don't tell me the links I've been looking at are totally bogus
It's been an eventful year for me so far. I wish it wasn't so. 
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wherestip
Jungtinės Amerikos Valstijos
Local time: 10:25
iš kinų į anglų
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| exchange rate | Feb 15, 2008 |
Yueyin Sun wrote:
wherestip wrote:
Yueyin, Chance, Wenjer,
Any opinions as to what's happening to the Chinese currency?
Steve,
我对外汇市场是“擀面杖吹火 — 一窍不通”。不过，我想这场雪灾的影响将是深远的，至少对中国南方农业的影响是极大的。
Thanks, Yueyin.
Yes, the snow must have been devastating to the Southern Provinces and therefore the economy as a whole.
You would think a 10% change overnight would make it into the news, but NO! The good thing is the average Chinese citizen probably wouldn't feel the impact, similar to the devaluation of the U. S. Dollar over here.
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chance (X)
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TEMOS KŪRĖJA(S) | 你也买人民币了？要不干嘛那么关心？ | Feb 15, 2008 |
我就等着它降了好买一些呢。
wherestip wrote:
chance,
Don't tell me the links I've been looking at are totally bogus
It's been an eventful year for me so far. I wish it wasn't so.
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wherestip
Jungtinės Amerikos Valstijos
Local time: 10:25
iš kinų į anglų
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| No, I haven't | Feb 15, 2008 |
chance wrote:
我就等着它降了好买一些呢。
wherestip wrote:
chance,
Don't tell me the links I've been looking at are totally bogus
It's been an eventful year for me so far. I wish it wasn't so.
No, chance. I don't dabble in currencies. The stock market was enough to sink me
I just happened to click on this foreign exchange website this morning.
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chance (X)
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TEMOS KŪRĖJA(S)
如果我听到报导，就来贴。
wherestip wrote:
wherestip wrote:
chance,
Don't tell me the links I've been looking at are totally bogus
It's been an eventful year for me so far. I wish it wasn't so.
No, chance. I don't dabble in currencies. The stock market was enough to sink me
I just happened to click on this foreign exchange website this morning.
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wherestip
Jungtinės Amerikos Valstijos
Local time: 10:25
iš kinų į anglų
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chance wrote:
可能是他们网站的错误
如果我听到报导，就来贴。
It must be. This is a big piece of misinformation if you ask me.
[Edited at 2008-02-15 17:39]
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wherestip
Jungtinės Amerikos Valstijos
Local time: 10:25
iš kinų į anglų
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| Look at those charts I posted now | Feb 15, 2008 |
It's obviously an erroneous data point resulting in a 10% glitch for Feb.14
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chance (X)
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TEMOS KŪRĖJA(S)
刚才随意听广播，说是美国有大企业使劲买股票，法国也有大企业使劲买股票，统计数字说明正是低价买股票的好时机。
最后广播员加了一句：不过诸位请注意，有三种形式的谎言，那就是：谎言，谎言，统计数字。
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Zhoudan
Local time: 00:25
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Steve说可以买了才可以考虑。:-D
chance wrote:
刚才随意听广播，说是美国有大企业使劲买股票，法国也有大企业使劲买股票，统计数字说明正是低价买股票的好时机。
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chance (X)
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TEMOS KŪRĖJA(S) | 一寸光阴一寸金，寸金难买寸光阴 | Feb 19, 2008 |
赶快叫Steve 起床给建议
Zhoudan wrote:
Steve说可以买了才可以考虑。:-D
chance wrote:
刚才随意听广播，说是美国有大企业使劲买股票，法国也有大企业使劲买股票，统计数字说明正是低价买股票的好时机。
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wherestip
Jungtinės Amerikos Valstijos
Local time: 10:25
iš kinų į anglų
+ ...
chance wrote:
赶快叫Steve 起床给建议
Zhoudan wrote:
Steve说可以买了才可以考虑。:-D
chance wrote:
刚才随意听广播，说是美国有大企业使劲买股票，法国也有大企业使劲买股票，统计数字说明正是低价买股票的好时机。
Zhoudan and chance,
你们俩别开玩笑了. 虽说我炒股的年头不少, 还是不时在 timing 上犯错.
倒是有这么说的: the market usually looks ahead about 6 months. So if there were to be an ecomomic recovery 6 months down the road, now would be the time to be buying. But that would be a big if!
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wherestip
Jungtinės Amerikos Valstijos
Local time: 10:25
iš kinų į anglų
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| Federal Reserve | Feb 19, 2008 |
http://www.moneycafe.com/library/fedfunds.htm
I think it's also a good idea to keep an eye on the Fed Funds Rate. The Fed's gonna keep cutting until it gets the desired effect of kick-starting the economy.
Of course this is the U.S. economy. But with today's globalization, most economies are joined at the hip.
[Edited at 2008-02-19 14:3... See more http://www.moneycafe.com/library/fedfunds.htm
I think it's also a good idea to keep an eye on the Fed Funds Rate. The Fed's gonna keep cutting until it gets the desired effect of kick-starting the economy.
Of course this is the U.S. economy. But with today's globalization, most economies are joined at the hip.
[Edited at 2008-02-19 14:39] ▲ Collapse
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chance (X)
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TEMOS KŪRĖJA(S) |
wherestip
Jungtinės Amerikos Valstijos
Local time: 10:25
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| Interest Rate | Feb 19, 2008 |
chance,
言之有理. 下面这篇文章的解释正如你所指出的情况 ...
http://www.associatedcontent.com/article/34883/interest_rate_change_vs_us_dollar_valuation.html
The Fed is indeed caught between a rock and a hard place. They have to worry about inflation on the one hand, and slowing the growth of the U.S. economy on the other.
From the steep rate cuts by the Fed we've seen most recently, it seems the latter concern won the tug of war. They're cutting rates with all abandon -- growth of the economy needs to be sustained at all costs; forget everything else
Adding liquidity to the financial system probably also helps to relieve some pressure of the credit crunch brought on by the subprime lending debacle.
[Edited at 2008-02-19 16:28]
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wherestip
Jungtinės Amerikos Valstijos
Local time: 10:25
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